The objective of any long term
energy plan MUST be to supply power to the citizens and industry at reasonable
rates, and for export oriented industry at rates at least as competitive with
other countries with which we compete for a market. Sri Lanka’s electricity
prices are unconscionably high. It affects both export industry and the tourist
industry where the use of electricity is so high that paying competitive
salaries to attract good staff is compromised due to it.
Let us look at the recent issues
to focus the mind!
1
Lakvijaya
or Norochcholai (coalfired) is getting back to production after a two month
suspension for repairs and upgrading to 600MW from 300MW. This is the 25th
breakdown since the expensive second hand old technology plant was imposed on
us by China, at loans taken with exorbitant interest rates. It would best to buy
it from a Chinese Company!
2
The MOU for Sampur (coalfired) has just been signed
with India, at a complete disadvantage to Sri Lanka for an eventual 1000MW
plant, with the first phase expected to come on stream in 2018.
3
With expectation that these two plants will require
2.5M Tonnes of Coal per annum, the cabinet this week discussed the need to
secure uninterrupted supplies. One suggestion was to buy shares in two or three
coal mines! Australia, Indonesia and China were countries where there were
companies where strategic stakes could be acquired, especially now when coal
prices were at relative historic lows!!!!
4
The
closure of Lakvijaya did not seriously impact power as the hydro reservoirs
were full, saving the CEB about 50B, and with the increase in Electricity
tariffs coming at the same time, both the lower consumption and sometimes 85%
of renewable energy was the result with wind kicking in 5%. CEB was able to
drawn down its liabilities substantially.
5
The
latest twist in the tail see link attached showing a conspiracy to purchase the
equivalent of 450MW of power from small hydro projects is yet another scandal
in the making where the consumer instead of being sold even cheaper power, will
be taken for a ride. http://www.thesundayleader.lk/2013/10/20/sinister-deal-uncovered/
6
Please
remember that the few windmills, (30 or so) can when there is wind produce 6%
of the national requirement, and there are NO incentives to guarantee
purchasing from them. It is an area that can reduce the cost of electricity
generation substantially!
Given
the above issues we must determine what are in the best interests of the
Country. There will shortly be huge excess capacity of private sector thermal
power plants, once the PPP agreements (private power purchase) expire. They are
high cost due to the thermal power, but in future in a fracking world, oil
prices are likely to drop substantially and can be bought for noting.
One
must also estimate that in 25 years 50% of the motor vehicles will be hybrid,
resulting in a huge decline in the need for fuel to power vehicles. Sri Lanka
must also have a policy to attract such vehicles with duty concessions.
It
must also be remembered that coal power stations are hugely polluting even if
latest techniques are used, and can do irreparable damage to the environment.
We have enough examples of such from overseas, and going into the Sampur
project is an unmitigated disaster, as a renewable power source producing more
than this could have been started with a lower investment, but with more spread
out plants, with Wind and Solar being the remaining sources, as for all intents
and purposes Hydro is maxed out, save for a few Mini and micro hydros.
All
new building including homes should obtain energy certification, and so more
energy saving, and renewable energy building systems can and should be
encouraged with tax breaks. It is simple to send excess energy supplied back to
the grid for payment, and that should be encouraged. It will be surprising how
fast the energy usage from the grid will fall.
There
is NO question that with an intelligent system of tax breaks and subsidies we
in Sri Lanka can bring down the real cost of energy to consumers to 50% of the
current rate, without incurring a subsidy from the state. The reason it has not
is that the people who are currently running this sector put themselves first,
without making the choices for the nation’s interest. There is too much money
involved in swaying opinions of managers and politicians, who have right throughout
made the worst decisions for the public.
Fortunately
time has shown that there are more efficient Solar and Wind energy sources, and
with a country and sea blessed with both we have an added advantage in being able
to use the latest technology to our benefit. A sensible energy policy on terms outlines
above, if started now can WITHOUT Sampur give us both the ability to reduce the
cost of electricity, and produce 50% more of our current power within 5 years, with
NO net cost to the Treasury. An integral part of this is the guarantee to householders
that the National Grid will purchase all excess power from home solar or wind systems
at the same rate.
1 comment:
well done.
i like the idea of home-produced electricity for the grid
also consider the use of a smart distribution system which will intelligently move energy around the grid according to demand thereby reducing waste
ocean wave energy should not be overlooked also and SL should be a leading innovator in this area
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