The recently
concluded census came out with one surprise (not to me) which was that the
estimate of people in Sri Lanka was found to be 20.3M as opposed to the
estimated 20.9M. The report using these figures concluded that the growth rate
in the population has therefore dropped to 0.7% from a figure of 1.1% . I beg
to differ and conclude differently.
Please remember
this is the population as counted in Sri Lanka today. It does not take into
account the 2M Sri Lanka citizens still holding Sri Lanka passports who live
overseas. Since the past complete census of 1970 there have been over an
additional 1.5M people or more leave for foreign lands for permanent emigration
or temporary emigration for work only. I obtained a copy of the census and read
it from beginning to end and there was NO mention of the emigration of citizens
anywhere let alone the fact that they have impacted on the why the estimate
differs from the actual.
I would expect
common sense to prevail and some indication made in the census that they are
now attempting to find out how many family members live overseas at present. I
cannot remember if that question was asked at the time of the census.
I will in a
future blog entry discuss the regional parities and the loss of a huge number
of citizens from the Northern Provinces due to emigration to other areas, death
and emigration overseas. The latter will hugely impact on the number of MPs
given to that province and will no doubt cause some friction amongst the people
if that happens.
Sri Lanka has a
relatively low growth rate in the population due to the success of family
planning programs and also the level of education of its citizens as well as
the comprehensive health care system in the country that encourages family
planning even if it means talking with peer groups about supporting families.
With a
relatively high workforce participation amongst females, it is also likely that
they make a decision about the size of the family they would like to have that
has resulted in this reduces growth rate in the population.
As I mentioned
earlier the overseas emigration MUST be factored and accounted for if one is to
make sense of the information just published.
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